Even as the economy shows signs of modest improvement, a new report projects that the job market could take years to recover from the beating it’s taken during the recession.
An assessment by an economist and a researcher at the Federal Reserve Bank in Kansas City paints a grim picture of the country’s economic future.
Instead of surging back, the authors predict the job market will merely limp along for years to come.
According to their forecast, the unemployment rate will be at 10 percent through 2011. Three years after that, the jobless rate will have dropped only to 8 percent. And a decade from now, that rate will still be floating above 6 percent.
Aug. 17 (Bloomberg) — Stocks tumbled around the world, led by China, while the yen, dollar and Treasuries rose as investors speculated that a rally in riskier assets has outpaced prospects for economic growth. Energy and commodity prices also slid.
The MSCI World Index of 23 developed nations sank 2.8 percent at 4:12 p.m. in New York, the biggest retreat since April. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lost 2.4 percent to 979.3 after China’s Shanghai Composite Index slumped 5.8 percent, the most since November. The yen strengthened against all 16 of the most-traded currencies tracked by Bloomberg, while the dollar advanced against every one except the yen. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note dropped to its lowest level in almost a month.
“The stock-market reaction overseas has woken people up to the fact that it’s not going to be a straight line up,” said Myles Zyblock, chief institutional strategist at RBC Capital Markets in Toronto. “People are starting to question the strength of the recovery.”